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ESP Espanha - Primera División RFEF - Grupo 2 · Partida ·

Algeciras CF vs FC Cartagena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa43%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante27%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Algeciras CFFC Cartagena
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo70% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
43% / 30% / 27%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Cartagena win (26.7%)Dupla Chance1X73.3%1.36
Acima 30% · Abaixo 70%Goals 2.5Abaixo70%1.43
Sim 37% · Não 63%Ambas as equipes marcamNão63%1.59
1.91 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapAlgeciras CF winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Algeciras CF win43%2.332.0543.4%-0.4 pp
Empate30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
FC Cartagena win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Algeciras CF1.14

Mandante share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 30% · Abaixo 70%

FC Cartagena0.77

Visitante share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 37% · Não 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Algeciras CF

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FC Cartagena

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.14
Expected goals
0.77
Algeciras CFFC Cartagena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Algeciras CF signalMandante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Cartagena signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Algeciras CF vs FC Cartagena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Algeciras CF ganhou 43%,Empate 30%,FC Cartagena ganhou 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Acima 2.5 30% · Current selection Abaixo