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PRT Португалия - Лига Примейра · Матч ·

Каса Пиа vs Морейренсе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Каса ПиаМорейренсе
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше63% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 31% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Морейренсе win (29.2%)Двойной шанс1X70.8%1.41
Больше 37% · Меньше 63%Goals 2.5Меньше63%1.59
Да 44% · Нет 56%Обе забьютНет56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapКаса Пиа winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Каса Пиа win40%2.502.2540.9%-0.9 pp
Ничья31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp
Морейренсе win29%3.453.2528.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Каса Пиа0.99

Хозяева share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 37% · Меньше 63%

Морейренсе1.20

Гости share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Нет 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Каса Пиа

0.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Баллы0

SignalХозяева failed to score: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Морейренсе

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalГости clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.99
Expected goals
1.20
Каса ПиаМорейренсе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Каса Пиа signalХозяева failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Морейренсе signalГости clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Каса Пиа vs Морейренсе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Каса Пиа выигрыш 40%,Ничья 31%,Морейренсе выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · ТБ 2.5 37% · Current selection Меньше