Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
43% / 29% / 28%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Эштрела Амадора win (28%)Двойной шанс1X72%1.39
Больше 47% · Меньше 53%Goals 2.5Меньше53%1.89
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.54 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Насьональ win43%2.33
Ничья29%3.45
Эштрела Амадора win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Хозяева share of expected goals 59.4%
Total expected goals2.54Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Больше 47% · Меньше 53%
Гости share of expected goals 40.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Хозяева-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchНасьональ
LWDLW
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7
SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5
Гости-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchЭштрела Амадора
DDWDD
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Баллы7
SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
28%7
Points from supplied form
71.51
Expected goals
1.03НасьональЭштрела Амадора
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Насьональ vs Эштрела Амадора FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Насьональ выигрыш 43%，Ничья 29%，Эштрела Амадора выигрыш 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.54 · ТБ 2.5 47% · Current selection Меньше。