Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
43% / 29% / 28%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ещрела Амадора win (28%)Двоен шанс1X72%1.39
Над 47% · Под 53%Goals 2.5Под53%1.89
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.54 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Насионал win43%2.33
Равен29%3.45
Ещрела Амадора win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Домакин share of expected goals 59.4%
Total expected goals2.54Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Над 47% · Под 53%
Гост share of expected goals 40.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Домакин-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchНасионал
LWDLW
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7
SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5
Гост-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchЕщрела Амадора
DDWDD
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Точки7
SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
28%7
Points from supplied form
71.51
Expected goals
1.03НасионалЕщрела Амадора
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Насионал vs Ещрела Амадора FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Насионал печеливш 43%，Равен 29%，Ещрела Амадора печеливш 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.54 · Над 2.5 47% · Current selection Под。