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PRT Португалия - Примейра Лига · Мач ·

Фамаликао vs Жил Висенте

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина44%
Равен29%
Победа за госта27%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина44% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФамаликаоЖил Висенте
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под70% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
44% / 29% / 27%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Жил Висенте win (26.5%)Двоен шанс1X73.5%1.36
Над 30% · Под 70%Goals 2.5Под70%1.43
Да 37% · Не 63%И двата отбора да отбележатНе63%1.59
1.91 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapЖил Висенте winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Фамаликао win44%2.272.1044.3%-0.3 pp
Равен29%3.453.2029.1%-0.1 pp
Жил Висенте win27%3.703.5026.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Фамаликао1.11

Домакин share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 30% · Под 70%

Жил Висенте0.80

Гост share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Не 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Фамаликао

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Жил Висенте

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
27%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.11
Expected goals
0.80
ФамаликаоЖил Висенте
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Фамаликао signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Жил Висенте signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Фамаликао vs Жил Висенте FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Фамаликао печеливш 44%,Равен 29%,Жил Висенте печеливш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Над 2.5 30% · Current selection Под