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PRT Португалия - Примейра Лига · Мач ·

Каса Пия vs Морейрензе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина40%
Равен31%
Победа за госта29%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Каса ПияМорейрензе
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под63% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
40% / 31% / 29%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Морейрензе win (29.2%)Двоен шанс1X70.8%1.41
Над 37% · Под 63%Goals 2.5Под63%1.59
Да 44% · Не 56%И двата отбора да отбележатНе56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.2 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapКаса Пия winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Каса Пия win40%2.502.2540.9%-0.9 pp
Равен31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp
Морейрензе win29%3.453.2528.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Каса Пия0.99

Домакин share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 37% · Под 63%

Морейрензе1.20

Гост share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Не 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Каса Пия

0.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Точки0

SignalДомакин failed to score: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Морейрензе

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalГост clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
29%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.99
Expected goals
1.20
Каса ПияМорейрензе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Каса Пия signalДомакин failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Морейрензе signalГост clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Каса Пия vs Морейрензе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Каса Пия печеливш 40%,Равен 31%,Морейрензе печеливш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Над 2.5 37% · Current selection Под