Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 31% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreirense win (29.2%)Dubbele Kans1X70.8%1.41
Boven 37% · Onder 63%Goals 2.5Onder63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nee 56%Beide teams scorenNee56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapCasa Pia winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Casa Pia win40%2.502.2540.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp
Moreirense win29%3.453.2528.3%+0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 45.2%
Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 37% · Onder 63%
Uit share of expected goals 54.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nee 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchCasa Pia
LLLLL
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punten0
SignalThuis failed to score: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchMoreirense
LDWDL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5
SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%0
Points from supplied form
50.99
Expected goals
1.20Casa PiaMoreirense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Casa Pia vs Moreirense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Casa Pia gewonnen 40%，Gelijkspel 31%，Moreirense gewonnen 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.19 · Boven 2.5 37% · Current selection Onder。