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PRT 葡萄牙超級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

卡薩皮亞 vs 蒙拉尼斯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝40%
31%
客勝29%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝40% selection probability
Projected score1–1卡薩皮亞蒙拉尼斯
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.563% for the selected side
雙方進球56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
40% / 31% / 29%比賽結果主勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 蒙拉尼斯 win (29.2%)雙重機會1X70.8%1.41
大 37% · 小 63%Goals 2.563%1.59
是 44% · 否 56%雙方進球56%1.79
2.19 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.2 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gap卡薩皮亞 winDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
卡薩皮亞 win40%2.502.2540.9%-0.9 pp
31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp
蒙拉尼斯 win29%3.453.2528.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

卡薩皮亞0.99

主隊 share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 37% · 63%

蒙拉尼斯1.20

客隊 share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

卡薩皮亞

0.00pts / match
5Wins0Drawn0Losses5積分0

Signal主隊 failed to score: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

蒙拉尼斯

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal客隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
贏 probability excluding draw
29%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.99
Expected goals
1.20
卡薩皮亞蒙拉尼斯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01卡薩皮亞 signal主隊 failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02蒙拉尼斯 signal客隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

卡薩皮亞 vs 蒙拉尼斯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

卡薩皮亞 40%, 31%,蒙拉尼斯 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · 大2.5 37% · Current selection