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PRT Πορτογαλία - Πριμέιρα Λίγκα · Αγώνας ·

Κάσα Πία vs Μορειρένσε

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου40%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου29%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Κάσα ΠίαΜορειρένσε
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω63% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
40% / 31% / 29%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μορειρένσε win (29.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X70.8%1.41
Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%Goals 2.5Κάτω63%1.59
Ναι 44% · Όχι 56%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapΚάσα Πία winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Κάσα Πία win40%2.502.2540.9%-0.9 pp
Ισοπαλία31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp
Μορειρένσε win29%3.453.2528.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Κάσα Πία0.99

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%

Μορειρένσε1.20

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 44% · Όχι 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Κάσα Πία

0.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Πόντοι0

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μορειρένσε

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
29%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.99
Expected goals
1.20
Κάσα ΠίαΜορειρένσε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Κάσα Πία signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μορειρένσε signalΦιλοξενούμενος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Κάσα Πία vs Μορειρένσε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Κάσα Πία νίκη 40%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Μορειρένσε νίκη 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Άνω 2.5 37% · Current selection Κάτω