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PRT ポルトガル プリメイラリーガ · 試合 ·

カサピア vs モレイレンセ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け31%
アウェイ勝利29%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1カサピアモレイレンセ
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー63% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 31% / 29%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes モレイレンセ win (29.2%)ダブルチャンス1X70.8%1.41
オーバー 37% · アンダー 63%Goals 2.5アンダー63%1.59
はい 44% · いいえ 56%両チーム得点いいえ56%1.79
2.19 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapカサピア winDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
カサピア win40%2.502.2540.9%-0.9 pp
引き分け31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp
モレイレンセ win29%3.453.2528.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

カサピア0.99

ホーム share of expected goals 45.2%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 37% · アンダー 63%

モレイレンセ1.20

アウェイ share of expected goals 54.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 44% · いいえ 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

カサピア

0.00pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn0Losses5ポイント0

Signalホーム failed to score: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

モレイレンセ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalアウェイ clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
29%
0
Points from supplied form
5
0.99
Expected goals
1.20
カサピアモレイレンセ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01カサピア signalホーム failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02モレイレンセ signalアウェイ clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

カサピア vs モレイレンセ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

カサピア 勝ち 40%,引き分け 31%,モレイレンセ 勝ち 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · オーバー 2.5 37% · Current selection アンダー