Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 29% / 28%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes エストレラ・アマドーラ win (28%)ダブルチャンス1X72%1.39
オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%Goals 2.5アンダー53%1.89
はい 51% · いいえ 49%両チーム得点はい51%1.96
2.54 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ナシオナル win43%2.33
引き分け29%3.45
エストレラ・アマドーラ win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
ホーム share of expected goals 59.4%
Total expected goals2.54Balanced
Dedicated goals model: オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%
アウェイ share of expected goals 40.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 51% · いいえ 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
ホーム-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchナシオナル
LWDLW
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7
Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5
アウェイ-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchエストレラ・アマドーラ
DDWDD
試合数5Wins1Drawn4Losses0ポイント7
Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
28%7
Points from supplied form
71.51
Expected goals
1.03ナシオナルエストレラ・アマドーラ
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
ナシオナル vs エストレラ・アマドーラ FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
ナシオナル 勝ち 43%，引き分け 29%，エストレラ・アマドーラ 勝ち 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.54 · オーバー 2.5 47% · Current selection アンダー。