Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
43% / 29% / 28%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estrela Amadora win (28%)Podwójna szansa1X72%1.39
Powyżej 47% · Poniżej 53%Goals 2.5Poniżej53%1.89
Tak 51% · Nie 49%Obie drużyny strzeląTak51%1.96
2.54 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Nacional win43%2.33
Remis29%3.45
Estrela Amadora win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gospodarze share of expected goals 59.4%
Total expected goals2.54Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 47% · Poniżej 53%
Goście share of expected goals 40.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 51% · Nie 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gospodarze-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchNacional
LWDLW
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7
SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5
Goście-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchEstrela Amadora
DDWDD
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punkty7
SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
28%7
Points from supplied form
71.51
Expected goals
1.03NacionalEstrela Amadora
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Nacional vs Estrela Amadora FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nacional wygrana 43%，Remis 29%，Estrela Amadora wygrana 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.54 · Powyżej 2.5 47% · Current selection Poniżej。