Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
43% / 29% / 28%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estrela Amadora win (28%)Dupla esély1X72%1.39
Felett 47% · Alatt 53%Goals 2.5Alatt53%1.89
Igen 51% · Nem 49%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen51%1.96
2.54 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Nacional win43%2.33
Döntetlen29%3.45
Estrela Amadora win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Hazai share of expected goals 59.4%
Total expected goals2.54Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Felett 47% · Alatt 53%
Vendég share of expected goals 40.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 51% · Nem 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Hazai-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchNacional
LWDLW
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7
SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5
Vendég-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchEstrela Amadora
DDWDD
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Pontok7
SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Nyert probability excluding draw
28%7
Points from supplied form
71.51
Expected goals
1.03NacionalEstrela Amadora
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Nacional vs Estrela Amadora FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nacional nyer 43%，Döntetlen 29%，Estrela Amadora nyer 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.54 · 2.5 felett 47% · Current selection Alatt。