Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
43% / 29% / 28%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estrela da Amadora win (28%)Dupla Chance1X72%1.39
Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%Goals 2.5Abaixo53%1.89
Sim 51% · Não 49%Ambas as equipes marcamSim51%1.96
2.54 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Nacional win43%2.33
Empate29%3.45
Estrela da Amadora win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Mandante share of expected goals 59.4%
Total expected goals2.54Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%
Visitante share of expected goals 40.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 51% · Não 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Mandante-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchNacional
LWDLW
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7
SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchEstrela da Amadora
DDWDD
Jogos5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Pontos7
SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
28%7
Points from supplied form
71.51
Expected goals
1.03NacionalEstrela da Amadora
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Nacional vs Estrela da Amadora FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nacional ganhou 43%，Empate 29%，Estrela da Amadora ganhou 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.54 · Acima 2.5 47% · Current selection Abaixo。