Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
43% / 29% / 28%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estrela Amadora win (28%)Cơ hội kép1X72%1.39
Tài 47% · Xỉu 53%Goals 2.5Xỉu53%1.89
Có 51% · Không 49%Cả hai đội ghi bànCó51%1.96
2.54 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Nacional win43%2.33
Hòa29%3.45
Estrela Amadora win28%3.57
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Chủ nhà share of expected goals 59.4%
Total expected goals2.54Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Tài 47% · Xỉu 53%
Khách share of expected goals 40.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitCó 51% · Không 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Chủ nhà-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchNacional
LWDLW
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7
SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5
Khách-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchEstrela Amadora
DDWDD
Số trận5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Điểm7
SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Thắng probability excluding draw
28%7
Points from supplied form
71.51
Expected goals
1.03NacionalEstrela Amadora
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Nacional vs Estrela Amadora FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nacional thắng 43%，Hòa 29%，Estrela Amadora thắng 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.54 · Tài 2.5 47% · Current selection Xỉu。