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PRT ポルトガル プリメイラリーガ · 試合 ·

ファマリカン vs ジルヴィセンテ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利27%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score1–1ファマリカンジルヴィセンテ
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー70% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 29% / 27%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ジルヴィセンテ win (26.5%)ダブルチャンス1X73.5%1.36
オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%Goals 2.5アンダー70%1.43
はい 37% · いいえ 63%両チーム得点いいえ63%1.59
1.91 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapジルヴィセンテ winDifference+0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ファマリカン win44%2.272.1044.3%-0.3 pp
引き分け29%3.453.2029.1%-0.1 pp
ジルヴィセンテ win27%3.703.5026.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ファマリカン1.11

ホーム share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%

ジルヴィセンテ0.80

アウェイ share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 37% · いいえ 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ファマリカン

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ジルヴィセンテ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
27%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.11
Expected goals
0.80
ファマリカンジルヴィセンテ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ファマリカン signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ジルヴィセンテ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ファマリカン vs ジルヴィセンテ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ファマリカン 勝ち 44%,引き分け 29%,ジルヴィセンテ 勝ち 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · オーバー 2.5 30% · Current selection アンダー