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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Partido ·

FC Famalicão vs Gil Vicente

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante27%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC FamalicãoGil Vicente
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de70% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 29% / 27%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gil Vicente win (26.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X73.5%1.36
Más de 30% · Menos de 70%Goals 2.5Menos de70%1.43
Sí 37% · No 63%Ambos equipos marcanNo63%1.59
1.91 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapGil Vicente winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Famalicão win44%2.272.1044.3%-0.3 pp
Empate29%3.453.2029.1%-0.1 pp
Gil Vicente win27%3.703.5026.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Famalicão1.11

Local share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 30% · Menos de 70%

Gil Vicente0.80

Visitante share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

FC Famalicão

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Gil Vicente

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
27%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.11
Expected goals
0.80
FC FamalicãoGil Vicente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Famalicão signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gil Vicente signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FC Famalicão vs Gil Vicente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Famalicão ganada 44%,Empate 29%,Gil Vicente ganada 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Más de 2.5 30% · Current selection Menos de