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PRT Portugalia - Primeira Liga · Meci ·

Famalicao vs Gil Vicente

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde44%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți27%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FamalicaoGil Vicente
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub70% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
44% / 29% / 27%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gil Vicente win (26.5%)Șansă dublă1X73.5%1.36
Peste 30% · Sub 70%Goals 2.5Sub70%1.43
Da 37% · Nu 63%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu63%1.59
1.91 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapGil Vicente winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Famalicao win44%2.272.1044.3%-0.3 pp
Egal29%3.453.2029.1%-0.1 pp
Gil Vicente win27%3.703.5026.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Famalicao1.11

Gazde share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 30% · Sub 70%

Gil Vicente0.80

Oaspeți share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 37% · Nu 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Famalicao

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Gil Vicente

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Câștig probability excluding draw
27%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.11
Expected goals
0.80
FamalicaoGil Vicente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Famalicao signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gil Vicente signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Famalicao vs Gil Vicente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Famalicao câștig 44%,Egal 29%,Gil Vicente câștig 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Peste 2.5 30% · Current selection Sub