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PRT Portugalsko - Primeira Liga · Zápas ·

Famalicao vs Gil Vicente

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich44%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí27%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FamalicaoGil Vicente
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej70% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
44% / 29% / 27%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gil Vicente win (26.5%)Dvojitá šanca1X73.5%1.36
Viac 30% · Menej 70%Goals 2.5Menej70%1.43
Áno 37% · Nie 63%Oba tímy skórujúNie63%1.59
1.91 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapGil Vicente winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Famalicao win44%2.272.1044.3%-0.3 pp
Remíza29%3.453.2029.1%-0.1 pp
Gil Vicente win27%3.703.5026.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Famalicao1.11

Domáci share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 30% · Menej 70%

Gil Vicente0.80

Hostia share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 37% · Nie 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Famalicao

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Gil Vicente

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.11
Expected goals
0.80
FamalicaoGil Vicente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Famalicao signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gil Vicente signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Famalicao vs Gil Vicente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Famalicao výhra 44%,Remíza 29%,Gil Vicente výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Viac 2.5 30% · Current selection Menej