Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 31% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreirense win (29.2%)Doppia Chance1X70.8%1.41
Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%Goals 2.5Sotto63%1.59
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.5%Largest probability gapCasa Pia winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Casa Pia win40%2.502.2540.9%-0.9 pp
Pareggio31%3.233.0030.7%+0.3 pp
Moreirense win29%3.453.2528.3%+0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 45.2%
Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%
Trasferta share of expected goals 54.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchCasa Pia
LLLLL
Giocate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punti0
SignalCasa failed to score: 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchMoreirense
LDWDL
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5
SignalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%0
Points from supplied form
50.99
Expected goals
1.20Casa PiaMoreirense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Casa Pia vs Moreirense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Casa Pia vinta 40%，Pareggio 31%，Moreirense vinta 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.19 · Sopra 2.5 37% · Current selection Sotto。