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URY Uruguay Segunda · Матч ·

Мирамар Мисьонес vs Такуарембо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев38%
Ничья32%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Мирамар МисьонесТакуарембо
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше68% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
38% / 32% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Такуарембо win (29.2%)Двойной шанс1X70.8%1.41
Больше 32% · Меньше 68%Goals 2.5Меньше68%1.47
Да 39% · Нет 61%Обе забьютНет61%1.64
1.97 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Мирамар Мисьонес win38%2.63
Ничья32%3.13
Такуарембо win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мирамар Мисьонес1.11

Хозяева share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 32% · Меньше 68%

Такуарембо0.86

Гости share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 39% · Нет 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Мирамар Мисьонес

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Такуарембо

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalГости matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.11
Expected goals
0.86
Мирамар МисьонесТакуарембо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мирамар Мисьонес signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Такуарембо signalГости matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Мирамар Мисьонес vs Такуарембо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мирамар Мисьонес выигрыш 38%,Ничья 32%,Такуарембо выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · ТБ 2.5 32% · Current selection Меньше