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URY Uruguay Segunda · Meci ·

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.98 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde39%
Egal32%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub68% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
39% / 32% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tacuarembo win (29.1%)Șansă dublă1X70.9%1.41
Peste 32% · Sub 68%Goals 2.5Sub68%1.47
Da 39% · Nu 61%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu61%1.64
1.98 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Miramar Misiones win39%2.56
Egal32%3.13
Tacuarembo win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miramar Misiones1.12

Gazde share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 32% · Sub 68%

Tacuarembo0.86

Oaspeți share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 39% · Nu 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Miramar Misiones

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.12
Expected goals
0.86
Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miramar Misiones signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacuarembo signalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miramar Misiones câștig 39%,Egal 32%,Tacuarembo câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Peste 2.5 32% · Current selection Sub