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URY Uruguay Segunda · Spiel ·

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden32%
Auswärtssieg29%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter68% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 32% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tacuarembo win (29.2%)Doppelte Chance1X70.8%1.41
Über 32% · Unter 68%Goals 2.5Unter68%1.47
Ja 39% · Nein 61%Beide Teams treffenNein61%1.64
1.97 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Miramar Misiones win38%2.63
Unentschieden32%3.13
Tacuarembo win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miramar Misiones1.11

Heim share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 32% · Unter 68%

Tacuarembo0.86

Auswärts share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nein 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Miramar Misiones

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.11
Expected goals
0.86
Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miramar Misiones signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacuarembo signalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miramar Misiones Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 32%,Tacuarembo Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Über 2.5 32% · Current selection Unter