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Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa38%
Pareggio32%
Vittoria ospite29%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto68% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
38% / 32% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tacuarembo win (29.2%)Doppia Chance1X70.8%1.41
Sopra 32% · Sotto 68%Goals 2.5Sotto68%1.47
Sì 39% · No 61%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo61%1.64
1.97 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Miramar Misiones win38%2.63
Pareggio32%3.13
Tacuarembo win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miramar Misiones1.11

Casa share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 32% · Sotto 68%

Tacuarembo0.86

Trasferta share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Miramar Misiones

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.11
Expected goals
0.86
Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miramar Misiones signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacuarembo signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miramar Misiones vinta 38%,Pareggio 32%,Tacuarembo vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Sopra 2.5 32% · Current selection Sotto