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Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.98 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa39%
Empate32%
Vitória visitante29%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo68% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
39% / 32% / 29%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tacuarembo win (29.1%)Dupla Chance1X70.9%1.41
Acima 32% · Abaixo 68%Goals 2.5Abaixo68%1.47
Sim 39% · Não 61%Ambas as equipes marcamNão61%1.64
1.98 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Miramar Misiones win39%2.56
Empate32%3.13
Tacuarembo win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miramar Misiones1.12

Mandante share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 32% · Abaixo 68%

Tacuarembo0.86

Visitante share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 39% · Não 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Miramar Misiones

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.12
Expected goals
0.86
Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miramar Misiones signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacuarembo signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miramar Misiones ganhou 39%,Empate 32%,Tacuarembo ganhou 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Acima 2.5 32% · Current selection Abaixo