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URY Uruguay Segunda · Zápas ·

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích38%
Remíza32%
Výhra hostů29%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně69% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
38% / 32% / 29%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tacuarembo win (29.2%)Dvojitá šance1X70.8%1.41
Více 31% · Méně 69%Goals 2.5Méně69%1.45
Ano 39% · Ne 61%Oba týmy skórujíNe61%1.64
1.96 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Miramar Misiones win38%2.63
Remíza32%3.13
Tacuarembo win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miramar Misiones1.11

Domácí share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 31% · Méně 69%

Tacuarembo0.85

Hosté share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 39% · Ne 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Miramar Misiones

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí failed to score: 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalHosté matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Výhra probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.11
Expected goals
0.85
Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miramar Misiones signalDomácí failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacuarembo signalHosté matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miramar Misiones výhra 38%,Remíza 32%,Tacuarembo výhra 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · Více 2.5 31% · Current selection Méně