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URY Uruguay Segunda · Maç ·

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.98 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır39%
Beraberlik32%
Deplasman kazanır29%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt68% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
39% / 32% / 29%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tacuarembo win (29.1%)Çifte Şans1X70.9%1.41
Üst 32% · Alt 68%Goals 2.5Alt68%1.47
Evet 39% · Hayır 61%Karşılıklı gol varHayır61%1.64
1.98 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.2 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Miramar Misiones win39%2.56
Beraberlik32%3.13
Tacuarembo win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miramar Misiones1.12

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 32% · Alt 68%

Tacuarembo0.86

Deplasman share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 39% · Hayır 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Miramar Misiones

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.12
Expected goals
0.86
Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miramar Misiones signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacuarembo signalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miramar Misiones kazanç 39%,Beraberlik 32%,Tacuarembo kazanç 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · 2.5 Üst 32% · Current selection Alt