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URY Uruguay Segunda · Match ·

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 32% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tacuarembo win (29.2%)Double chance1X70.8%1.41
Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%Goals 2.5Moins de68%1.47
Oui 39% · Non 61%Les deux équipes marquentNon61%1.64
1.97 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Miramar Misiones win38%2.63
Nul32%3.13
Tacuarembo win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miramar Misiones1.11

Domicile share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%

Tacuarembo0.86

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 39% · Non 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Miramar Misiones

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.11
Expected goals
0.86
Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miramar Misiones signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacuarembo signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miramar Misiones victoire 38%,Nul 32%,Tacuarembo victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Plus de 2.5 32% · Current selection Moins de