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URY Uruguay Segunda · Αγώνας ·

Μιραμάρ Μισιόνες vs Τακουαρέμπο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου38%
Ισοπαλία32%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου29%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Μιραμάρ ΜισιόνεςΤακουαρέμπο
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω69% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
38% / 32% / 29%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τακουαρέμπο win (29.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X70.8%1.41
Άνω 31% · Κάτω 69%Goals 2.5Κάτω69%1.45
Ναι 39% · Όχι 61%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι61%1.64
1.96 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μιραμάρ Μισιόνες win38%2.63
Ισοπαλία32%3.13
Τακουαρέμπο win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μιραμάρ Μισιόνες1.11

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 31% · Κάτω 69%

Τακουαρέμπο0.85

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 39% · Όχι 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μιραμάρ Μισιόνες

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Τακουαρέμπο

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.11
Expected goals
0.85
Μιραμάρ ΜισιόνεςΤακουαρέμπο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μιραμάρ Μισιόνες signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Τακουαρέμπο signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Μιραμάρ Μισιόνες vs Τακουαρέμπο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μιραμάρ Μισιόνες νίκη 38%,Ισοπαλία 32%,Τακουαρέμπο νίκη 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · Άνω 2.5 31% · Current selection Κάτω