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URY Uruguay Segunda · Матч ·

Colon FC vs Cerrito

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей30%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Colon FCCerrito
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше63% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 29% / 30%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Двойной шанс1270.6%1.42
Больше 37% · Меньше 63%Goals 2.5Меньше63%1.59
Да 43% · Нет 57%Обе забьютНет57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin13.3%Largest probability gapColon FC winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colon FC win41%2.442.2040.1%+0.9 pp
Ничья29%3.453.0029.4%-0.4 pp
Cerrito win30%3.332.9030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colon FC1.29

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 37% · Меньше 63%

Cerrito0.90

Гости share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Нет 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Colon FC

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Cerrito

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.29
Expected goals
0.90
Colon FCCerrito
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colon FC signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerrito signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Colon FC vs Cerrito FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colon FC выигрыш 41%,Ничья 29%,Cerrito выигрыш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · ТБ 2.5 37% · Current selection Меньше