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URY Uruguay Segunda · Kamp ·

Colon FC vs Cerrito

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier41%
Uavgjort29%
Borteseier30%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Colon FCCerrito
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
41% / 29% / 30%KampresultatHjemmeseier41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Dobbel sjanse1270.6%1.42
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 43% · Nei 57%Begge lag scorerNei57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin13.3%Largest probability gapColon FC winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colon FC win41%2.442.2040.1%+0.9 pp
Uavgjort29%3.453.0029.4%-0.4 pp
Cerrito win30%3.332.9030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colon FC1.29

Hjemme share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Cerrito0.90

Borte share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nei 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Colon FC

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Cerrito

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poeng9

SignalBorte unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.29
Expected goals
0.90
Colon FCCerrito
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colon FC signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerrito signalBorte unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Colon FC vs Cerrito FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colon FC vunnet 41%,Uavgjort 29%,Cerrito vunnet 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under