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BRA Brazil Serie C · Матч ·

Итуано vs Барра

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев48%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей23%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ИтуаноБарра
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 29% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Барра win (23.1%)Двойной шанс1X76.9%1.30
Больше 45% · Меньше 55%Goals 2.5Меньше55%1.82
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapИтуано winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Итуано win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Ничья29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Барра win23%4.354.0022.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Итуано1.31

Хозяева share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 45% · Меньше 55%

Барра1.17

Гости share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Итуано

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Барра

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.17
ИтуаноБарра
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Итуано signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Барра signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Итуано vs Барра FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Итуано выигрыш 48%,Ничья 29%,Барра выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · ТБ 2.5 45% · Current selection Меньше