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BRA Brasil - Serie C · Partido ·

Ituano vs Barra SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local48%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante23%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ItuanoBarra SC
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
48% / 29% / 23%Resultado del partidoVictoria local48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barra SC win (23.1%)Doble Oportunidad1X76.9%1.30
Más de 45% · Menos de 55%Goals 2.5Menos de55%1.82
Sí 51% · No 49%Ambos equipos marcan51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapItuano winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ituano win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Empate29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Barra SC win23%4.354.0022.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ituano1.31

Local share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 45% · Menos de 55%

Barra SC1.17

Visitante share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Ituano

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Barra SC

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Ganado probability excluding draw
23%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.17
ItuanoBarra SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ituano signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barra SC signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Ituano vs Barra SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ituano ganada 48%,Empate 29%,Barra SC ganada 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Más de 2.5 45% · Current selection Menos de