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BRA Brazil Serie C · Mäng ·

Ituano vs Barra SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit48%
Viik29%
Võõrsilvõit23%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ItuanoBarra SC
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla55% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
48% / 29% / 23%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barra SC win (23.1%)Topeltvõimalus1X76.9%1.30
Üle 45% · Alla 55%Goals 2.5Alla55%1.82
Jah 51% · Ei 49%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
10.9 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapItuano winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ituano win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Viik29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Barra SC win23%4.354.0022.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ituano1.31

Kodu share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 45% · Alla 55%

Barra SC1.17

Võõras share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 51% · Ei 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Ituano

0.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punktid2

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Barra SC

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Võit probability excluding draw
23%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.17
ItuanoBarra SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ituano signalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barra SC signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Ituano vs Barra SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ituano võit 48%,Viik 29%,Barra SC võit 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Üle 2.5 45% · Current selection Alla