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BRA ブラジル セリエC · 試合 ·

イトゥアーノ vs バラSC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利48%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利23%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利48% selection probability
Projected score1–1イトゥアーノバラSC
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
48% / 29% / 23%試合結果ホーム勝利48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes バラSC win (23.1%)ダブルチャンス1X76.9%1.30
オーバー 45% · アンダー 55%Goals 2.5アンダー55%1.82
はい 51% · いいえ 49%両チーム得点はい51%1.96
2.48 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapイトゥアーノ winDifference-0.8 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
イトゥアーノ win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
引き分け29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
バラSC win23%4.354.0022.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

イトゥアーノ1.31

ホーム share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 45% · アンダー 55%

バラSC1.17

アウェイ share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 51% · いいえ 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

イトゥアーノ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

バラSC

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
勝ち probability excluding draw
23%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.17
イトゥアーノバラSC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01イトゥアーノ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02バラSC signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

イトゥアーノ vs バラSC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

イトゥアーノ 勝ち 48%,引き分け 29%,バラSC 勝ち 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · オーバー 2.5 45% · Current selection アンダー