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BRA ブラジル セリエC · 試合 ·

フィゲイレンセ vs フェロヴィアリア

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利41%
引き分け31%
アウェイ勝利29%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利41% selection probability
Projected score1–1フィゲイレンセフェロヴィアリア
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー81% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
41% / 31% / 29%試合結果ホーム勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes フェロヴィアリア win (28.7%)ダブルチャンス1X71.3%1.40
オーバー 19% · アンダー 81%Goals 2.5アンダー81%1.23
はい 28% · いいえ 72%両チーム得点いいえ72%1.39
1.49 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
フィゲイレンセ win41%2.442.1541.9%-0.9 pp
引き分け31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
フェロヴィアリア win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

フィゲイレンセ0.69

ホーム share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 19% · アンダー 81%

フェロヴィアリア0.80

アウェイ share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 28% · いいえ 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

フィゲイレンセ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フェロヴィアリア

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
勝ち probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.69
Expected goals
0.80
フィゲイレンセフェロヴィアリア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01フィゲイレンセ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フェロヴィアリア signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

フィゲイレンセ vs フェロヴィアリア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

フィゲイレンセ 勝ち 41%,引き分け 31%,フェロヴィアリア 勝ち 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · オーバー 2.5 19% · Current selection アンダー