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BRA Brazil Serie C · Zápas ·

Figueirense vs Ferroviaria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích41%
Remíza31%
Výhra hostů29%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích41% selection probability
Projected score1–1FigueirenseFerroviaria
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně81% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
41% / 31% / 29%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviaria win (28.7%)Dvojitá šance1X71.3%1.40
Více 19% · Méně 81%Goals 2.5Méně81%1.23
Ano 28% · Ne 72%Oba týmy skórujíNe72%1.39
1.49 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
10.9 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Figueirense win41%2.442.1541.9%-0.9 pp
Remíza31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Ferroviaria win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Figueirense0.69

Domácí share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 19% · Méně 81%

Ferroviaria0.80

Hosté share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 28% · Ne 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Figueirense

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Ferroviaria

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Výhra probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.69
Expected goals
0.80
FigueirenseFerroviaria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Figueirense signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferroviaria signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Figueirense vs Ferroviaria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Figueirense výhra 41%,Remíza 31%,Ferroviaria výhra 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · Více 2.5 19% · Current selection Méně