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BRA Brazil Serie C · Матч ·

Фигейренсе vs Ферровиария

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФигейренсеФерровиария
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше81% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 31% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ферровиария win (28.7%)Двойной шанс1X71.3%1.40
Больше 19% · Меньше 81%Goals 2.5Меньше81%1.23
Да 28% · Нет 72%Обе забьютНет72%1.39
1.49 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Фигейренсе win41%2.442.1541.9%-0.9 pp
Ничья31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Ферровиария win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Фигейренсе0.69

Хозяева share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 19% · Меньше 81%

Ферровиария0.80

Гости share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 28% · Нет 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Фигейренсе

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ферровиария

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.69
Expected goals
0.80
ФигейренсеФерровиария
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Фигейренсе signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ферровиария signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Фигейренсе vs Ферровиария FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Фигейренсе выигрыш 41%,Ничья 31%,Ферровиария выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · ТБ 2.5 19% · Current selection Меньше