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BRA Brazil Serie C · Мач ·

Фигуерензе vs Феровиария

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.49 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина41%
Равен31%
Победа за госта29%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина41% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФигуерензеФеровиария
Expected goals1.49Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под81% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
41% / 31% / 29%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Феровиария win (28.7%)Двоен шанс1X71.3%1.40
Над 19% · Под 81%Goals 2.5Под81%1.23
Да 28% · Не 72%И двата отбора да отбележатНе72%1.39
1.49 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Фигуерензе win41%2.442.1541.9%-0.9 pp
Равен31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Феровиария win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Фигуерензе0.69

Домакин share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 19% · Под 81%

Феровиария0.80

Гост share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 28% · Не 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Фигуерензе

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Феровиария

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.69
Expected goals
0.80
ФигуерензеФеровиария
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Фигуерензе signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Феровиария signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Фигуерензе vs Феровиария FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Фигуерензе печеливш 41%,Равен 31%,Феровиария печеливш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.49 · Над 2.5 19% · Current selection Под