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BRA Brazil Serie C · Мач ·

Botafogo PB vs Санта Круз

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина37%
Равен33%
Победа за госта31%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botafogo PBСанта Круз
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под70% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
37% / 33% / 31%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Санта Круз win (30.6%)Двоен шанс1X69.4%1.44
Над 30% · Под 70%Goals 2.5Под70%1.43
Да 38% · Не 62%И двата отбора да отбележатНе62%1.61
1.90 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Botafogo PB win37%2.70
Равен33%3.03
Санта Круз win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo PB1.03

Домакин share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 30% · Под 70%

Санта Круз0.87

Гост share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Не 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Botafogo PB

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Санта Круз

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
31%
15
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
0.87
Botafogo PBСанта Круз
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo PB signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Санта Круз signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Botafogo PB vs Санта Круз FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo PB печеливш 37%,Равен 33%,Санта Круз печеливш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Над 2.5 30% · Current selection Под