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BRA Brazil Serie C · Match ·

Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile41%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botafogo PBSanta Cruz
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de70% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
41% / 30% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santa Cruz win (29.1%)Double chance1X70.9%1.41
Plus de 30% · Moins de 70%Goals 2.5Moins de70%1.43
Oui 38% · Non 62%Les deux équipes marquentNon62%1.61
1.90 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapBotafogo PB winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo PB win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Nul30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Santa Cruz win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo PB1.03

Domicile share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 30% · Moins de 70%

Santa Cruz0.87

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 38% · Non 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Botafogo PB

3.00pts / match
Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Santa Cruz

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
15
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
0.87
Botafogo PBSanta Cruz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo PB signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santa Cruz signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo PB victoire 41%,Nul 30%,Santa Cruz victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Plus de 2.5 30% · Current selection Moins de