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BRA Brazil Serie C · Матч ·

Botafogo PB vs Санта-Крус

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botafogo PBСанта-Крус
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше70% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 30% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Санта-Крус win (29.1%)Двойной шанс1X70.9%1.41
Больше 30% · Меньше 70%Goals 2.5Меньше70%1.43
Да 38% · Нет 62%Обе забьютНет62%1.61
1.90 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapBotafogo PB winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo PB win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Санта-Крус win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo PB1.03

Хозяева share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 30% · Меньше 70%

Санта-Крус0.87

Гости share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Нет 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Botafogo PB

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Санта-Крус

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
15
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
0.87
Botafogo PBСанта-Крус
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo PB signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Санта-Крус signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Botafogo PB vs Санта-Крус FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo PB выигрыш 41%,Ничья 30%,Санта-Крус выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · ТБ 2.5 30% · Current selection Меньше