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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
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BRA Brazil Serie C · Wedstrijd ·

Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel33%
Uitwinst31%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botafogo PBSanta Cruz
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder70% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 33% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santa Cruz win (30.6%)Dubbele Kans1X69.4%1.44
Boven 30% · Onder 70%Goals 2.5Onder70%1.43
Ja 38% · Nee 62%Beide teams scorenNee62%1.61
1.90 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Botafogo PB win37%2.70
Gelijkspel33%3.03
Santa Cruz win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo PB1.03

Thuis share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 30% · Onder 70%

Santa Cruz0.87

Uit share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nee 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Botafogo PB

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Santa Cruz

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
15
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
0.87
Botafogo PBSanta Cruz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo PB signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santa Cruz signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo PB gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 33%,Santa Cruz gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Boven 2.5 30% · Current selection Onder