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BRA Brazil Serie C · Meci ·

Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde45%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți25%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botafogo PBSanta Cruz
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub70% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
45% / 29% / 25%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santa Cruz win (25.3%)Șansă dublă1X74.7%1.34
Peste 30% · Sub 70%Goals 2.5Sub70%1.43
Da 38% · Nu 62%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62%1.61
1.90 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapBotafogo PB winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo PB win45%2.221.9546.1%-1.1 pp
Egal29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Santa Cruz win25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo PB1.03

Gazde share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 30% · Sub 70%

Santa Cruz0.87

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 38% · Nu 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Botafogo PB

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Santa Cruz

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Câștig probability excluding draw
25%
15
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
0.87
Botafogo PBSanta Cruz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo PB signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santa Cruz signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo PB câștig 45%,Egal 29%,Santa Cruz câștig 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Peste 2.5 30% · Current selection Sub