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BRA Brasil - Serie C · Partido ·

Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local41%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante29%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botafogo PBSanta Cruz
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de70% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
41% / 30% / 29%Resultado del partidoVictoria local41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santa Cruz win (29.1%)Doble Oportunidad1X70.9%1.41
Más de 30% · Menos de 70%Goals 2.5Menos de70%1.43
Sí 38% · No 62%Ambos equipos marcanNo62%1.61
1.90 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.8 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapBotafogo PB winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo PB win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Empate30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Santa Cruz win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo PB1.03

Local share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 30% · Menos de 70%

Santa Cruz0.87

Visitante share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Botafogo PB

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Santa Cruz

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganado probability excluding draw
29%
15
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
0.87
Botafogo PBSanta Cruz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo PB signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santa Cruz signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo PB ganada 41%,Empate 30%,Santa Cruz ganada 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Más de 2.5 30% · Current selection Menos de