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BRA Brazil Serie C · Αγώνας ·

Botafogo PB vs Σάντα Κρουζ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.90 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου41%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου29%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Botafogo PBΣάντα Κρουζ
Expected goals1.90Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω70% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
41% / 30% / 29%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σάντα Κρουζ win (29.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X70.9%1.41
Άνω 30% · Κάτω 70%Goals 2.5Κάτω70%1.43
Ναι 38% · Όχι 62%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι62%1.61
1.90 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapBotafogo PB winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo PB win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Σάντα Κρουζ win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo PB1.03

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 30% · Κάτω 70%

Σάντα Κρουζ0.87

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 38% · Όχι 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Botafogo PB

3.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Πόντοι15

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σάντα Κρουζ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
29%
15
Points from supplied form
9
1.03
Expected goals
0.87
Botafogo PBΣάντα Κρουζ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo PB signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σάντα Κρουζ signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Botafogo PB vs Σάντα Κρουζ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo PB νίκη 41%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Σάντα Κρουζ νίκη 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.90 · Άνω 2.5 30% · Current selection Κάτω