Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 29% / 23%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barra SC win (23.1%)Double chance1X76.9%1.30
Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%Goals 2.5Moins de55%1.82
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsScore exact1–1——
10.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapItuano winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ituano win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Nul29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Barra SC win23%4.354.0022.3%+0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 52.8%
Total expected goals2.48Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%
Extérieur share of expected goals 47.2%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchItuano
LLLDD
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchBarra SC
LLWLD
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
23%2
Points from supplied form
41.31
Expected goals
1.17ItuanoBarra SC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Ituano vs Barra SC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ituano victoire 48%，Nul 29%，Barra SC victoire 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.48 · Plus de 2.5 45% · Current selection Moins de。