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BRA Brazil Serie C · Spiel ·

Ituano vs Barra SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg23%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ItuanoBarra SC
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 29% / 23%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barra SC win (23.1%)Doppelte Chance1X76.9%1.30
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapItuano winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ituano win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Barra SC win23%4.354.0022.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ituano1.31

Heim share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

Barra SC1.17

Auswärts share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Ituano

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Barra SC

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
23%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
1.17
ItuanoBarra SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ituano signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Barra SC signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Ituano vs Barra SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ituano Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 29%,Barra SC Gewinn 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter