Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 31% / 29%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviaria win (28.7%)Double chance1X71.3%1.40
Over 19% · Under 81%Goals 2.5Under81%1.23
Yes 28% · No 72%Both teams scoreNo72%1.39
1.49 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Figueirense win41%2.442.1541.9%-0.9 pp
Draw31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Ferroviaria win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 46.3%
Total expected goals1.49Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 19% · Under 81%
Away share of expected goals 53.7%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 28% · No 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFigueirense
WDLDD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFerroviaria
DWLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Win probability excluding draw
29%6
Points from supplied form
70.69
Expected goals
0.80FigueirenseFerroviaria
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Figueirense vs Ferroviaria FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Figueirense win 41%，Draw 31%，Ferroviaria win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.49 · Over 2.5 19% · Current selection Under。