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USA США - MLS · Матч ·

Нью-Инглэнд vs Хьюстон Динамо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Нью-ИнглэндХьюстон Динамо
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 27% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Двойной шанс1272.8%1.37
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapНью-Инглэнд winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Нью-Инглэнд win40%2.502.4039.7%+0.3 pp
Ничья27%3.703.5027.2%-0.2 pp
Хьюстон Динамо win33%3.032.8833.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нью-Инглэнд1.54

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Хьюстон Динамо1.10

Гости share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Нью-Инглэнд

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Хьюстон Динамо

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.54
Expected goals
1.10
Нью-ИнглэндХьюстон Динамо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нью-Инглэнд signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хьюстон Динамо signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Нью-Инглэнд vs Хьюстон Динамо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нью-Инглэнд выигрыш 40%,Ничья 27%,Хьюстон Динамо выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше